Projeção nível mar
- Created by
- Renato Passos, Eng. de Software
- Reviewed by
- Renato Passos, Eng. de Software
Last updated: Apr 18, 2026
Formula
~8mm/ano
About this calculator
This sea level rise calculator estimates ocean altitude increase by 2100 using an average rate of 8mm/year. Based on IPCC projections, the expected range is 0.3m to 1.1m, depending on factors like CO2 emissions and glacier melting. It's useful for coastal city planning, environmental risk management, and climate adaptation policies.
The calculation uses a linear formula: total rise = annual rate × years. For example, 8mm/year over 80 years equals 64cm. The 0.3m-1.1m range reflects different climate scenarios and processes like thermal water expansion and ice mass imbalance. Regional data is recommended for local accuracy.
Remember that global projections exclude extreme climate events or abrupt Antarctic ice loss changes. This tool provides general guidance, but specific studies should include factors like land subsidence, ocean currents, and seasonal variations. Periodic model updates are needed as new data becomes available.
Frequently asked questions
What scientific basis does this calculation use?
The tool is based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections and the historical sea level rise rate of 8mm/year measured by satellites since 1993.
Why does the projection vary between 0.3m and 1.1m?
This range considers different greenhouse gas emission scenarios and climate system responses, such as accelerated Arctic melting and ocean thermal expansion.
Can I use this calculation for dates other than 2100?
Yes, just adjust the period in the input field. However, projections for distant dates have higher uncertainty due to glacier melting process complexity.
Does the calculation account for land subsidence?
No. The tool only calculates relative ocean level rise. Local subsidence should be evaluated separately by geologists or engineers.
Does the projection include the impact of ocean circulation changes?
No. The calculation assumes homogeneous sea level rise distribution, ignoring regional variations caused by ocean currents and Earth rotation.