Frequência eventos extremos

This calculator estimates the increase in frequency of extreme weather events (such as storms, droughts, or heatwaves) in relation to global warming. The formula is based on studies showing a 5% rise in such events' frequency per 1°C increase in global average temperature. It uses the equation: (current frequency) × (1 + 5%/°C) × degrees of warming. It helps assess future climate risks for urban planning, agriculture, and mitigation policies.

To use the tool, input the current frequency of an extreme weather event and the projected warming in Celsius. The calculator multiplies the frequency by 1.05 raised to the number of degrees, generating a new frequency estimate. Example: 10 events/year × 1.152 (for 3°C warming) = 15.2 events/year. Results help predict impacts on vulnerable sectors like infrastructure and public health.

Note that this is a simplified model and does not account for regional or local climatic variabilities. Results should be interpreted cautiously in critical analyses. Complement data with region-specific studies and advanced climate models for accuracy.

The calculator draws from UN and IPCC reports but does not replace advanced climate simulations. Use it for educational discussions or initial planning, but consult experts for technical or policy decisions.