Durbin-Watson aprox 2(1−ρ)

autocorr resíduos.
Created by
Renato Passos, Eng. de Software
Reviewed by
Renato Passos, Eng. de Software

Last updated: Apr 18, 2026

DW
1,600

About this calculator

The Durbin-Watson approx 2(1−ρ) calculator is a statistical tool that estimates the Durbin-Watson statistic based on the autocorrelation coefficient (ρ). This statistic detects autocorrelation in the residuals of linear regression models, common in time series analysis. The approximation 2(1−ρ) derives from the theoretical relationship between autocorrelation and the statistic, simplifying calculations without processing all residuals individually.

It works by calculating ρ (autocorrelation of residuals) and applying the formula 2(1−ρ). When ρ = 0 (no autocorrelation), the statistic is close to 2. Values below 2 indicate positive autocorrelation, while values above 2 suggest negative autocorrelation. This approximation is useful for quick diagnostics but does not replace the exact computation, especially in complex models or small samples.

Use this calculator to check if time series model residuals are independent. For example, in economic or climate forecasting, autocorrelation can invalidate model assumptions. Avoid relying solely on the approximation for critical decisions; combine it with complementary tests like Breusch-Godfrey for robustness. The calculator is ideal for preliminary checks but should not replace more rigorous analyses.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Durbin-Watson statistic?

It is a statistical measure that detects autocorrelation between consecutive residuals in regression models, particularly in time series analysis.

How to interpret values close to 2?

Values near 2 suggest no autocorrelation. Below 2 indicates positive autocorrelation; above 2, negative autocorrelation.

When to use 2(1−ρ) approximation instead of exact calculation?

Use the approximation for quick diagnostics or large samples. For small samples or critical models, prefer exact residual calculations.

What happens if residuals have autocorrelation?

Autocorrelation invalidates model assumptions like residual independence, leading to unreliable statistical inferences.

Does this calculator replace tests like Breusch-Godfrey?

No. It is an initial approximation. Tests like Breusch-Godfrey are needed for confirmation in complex models.

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